Fewer Births, More Deaths Result in Lowest U.S. Growth Rate in Generations.

The United States population is aging and our population is on a slow decrease. Birth rates have been decreasing while death are increasing. Some say this will lead to the end of the world. According to the article the U.S. had, “just a 0.62 percent gain between July 2017 and July 2018.” In the past year there has been 2.81 million deaths and 3.86 million births within the last year. “The aging population is starting to take its toll.” According to the article it seems like our slow reproduction and our vast death is slowly killing our population. According to the article, a decade ago our population was reaching a surplus and we are now standing on opposite terms. “We have an aging problem of immense proportions.”

Is it women in the workforce? Is it low marriage rates? Is it a old reproduction age? Amongst the five articles there are various reasons to why the population in the world is declining and economic standings are declining. All of our countries are facing either overproduction or under production and maybe we can take some advice from the areas that are doing well with their production rates. Health advances and technology advances may save our nation, as it can help reproduction and other problems we face.

Tavernise, S. (2018, December 19). Fewer Births, More Deaths Result in Lowest U.S. Growth Rate in Generations. Retrieved February 22, 2019, from https://www.nytimes.com/2018/12/19/us/census-population-growth.html?rref=collection/timestopic/Population&action=click&contentCollection=timestopics®ion=stream&module=stream_unit&version=latest&contentPlacement=4&pgtype=collection

Falling total fertility rate should be welcomed, population expert says.

According to this article population declines should not be looked down upon, but they should be celebrated. The World’s total fertility rate is 2.4 and the article noted that some countries have lower TFR and some are far higher. “This idea that you need lots and lots of people to defend your country and to grow your country economically, that is really old thinking,” says Sarah Harper, former director of the Royal Institution and an expert on population change. According to Harper our thinking is old and with the flowing population whether it be up or down we need to not make sudden changes to it. Sudden changes being things like China’s one-child population and other reproduction restrictions. From an environmental standpoint the article says that the less children that families have, the lower their carbon footprint have been. According to Harper, we are okay and with good health, “infant mortality falls, and women find themselves raising larger families. “This is a natural process,”  

At first sight this may be alarming, but it gets more reasonable. Countries are often very alarmed by population increase and decrease. Things like this have happened forever, we just pay more attention now because we have the technology to do so. Roles in the world have changed, but the world as a whole is slowly adapting to everything. While population changes are scary and some countries need serious guidance when it comes to health and reproduction, I do believe it will all get better with time.

Davis, N. (2018, December 26). Falling total fertility rate should be welcomed, population expert says. Retrieved February 22, 2019, from https://www.theguardian.com/world/2018/dec/26/falling-total-fertility-rate-should-be-welcomed-population-expert-says

Japan shrinking as birthrate falls to lowest level in history.

Japan has currently reached the lowest of lows with their decreasing population. According to the article, “The ministry estimated 921,000 babies will have been born by the end of 2018 – 25,000 fewer than last year and the lowest number since comparable records began in 1899.” Japan is known for the horrible working conditions and in Japan everyone is set to work. Women, young children and men, all work everyday for low wages and under harsh, unhealthy conditions. Japan is up against tragic conditions. Women on average have 1.8 children in their lifetime, living in Japan. And to keep a stable population an average of 2.0 children per lifetime is expected. Japan is falling short on reproduction numbers, as they did not reproduce over a million children in one year. But they had,”the the estimated number of deaths this year – a postwar high of 1.37 million.” on the bright side Japan has a very high life expectancy of 87.2 years, but will that keep their population where it needs to be?

With Japan’s current set back, I don’t know what they could do to come back. They are soon allowing immigrants into Japan as “Blue-collar workers”. will blue-collar workers allow their population to replenish itself or is Japan going to go on an endless decline. I am at a lost for words, as I can’t think of a change that can come to Japan. Hopefully their next reproduction stage to come will put Japan in a better place than it is currently in.

McCurry, J. (2018, December 27). Japan shrinking as birthrate falls to lowest level in history. Retrieved February 22, 2019, from https://www.theguardian.com/world/2018/dec/27/japan-shrinking-as-birthrate-falls-to-lowest-level-in-history

The Road To 10 Billion: Where Is Global Population Actually Headed?

This article takes a scientific viewpoint in the idea that the world’s population will take a steep decline in a few decades. Scientist and spectators of overpopulation have looked at the world’s population as a whole for some time now. They have concluded that the population is currently at a slow growth but a fast decline. Why this may be happening? Women in the workforce, marriage, and reproduction stages, all seem to be the current issue. With women in the workforce they are quick to hold off reproduction and even marriage. According to the article, “In South Korea and Japan women delay childbirth until their 30s or forgo it altogether.” and this is a huge issue being that it drops world population and as the elderly begin to pass there are less and less young people to replace those spots. Reproduction on world average is around 23-30 and scientifically after the ages of 35 women have a little to no chance of reproduction. With birth rates being lower than death rates, this article believes that by the year of 2050 the world’s population will begin to decrease at a steady rate until there is no more.

Thinking in a scientific standpoint is always a scary reality. This of course won’t happen exactly, but technology and everything else are rapidly expanding. Someday in the near future there may be a formula to all the population madness and the world may continue forever. But analyzing current data leaves me to think that we may possibly be nearing the post industrial stages soon. There is a lot of questioning that goes into what has been said in this article, but some valid points were made. It is currently a trend for women to be very economically independent, leaving them to hold off marriage and children. It is also true that everything is vastly becoming better, so the world could possibly just be adapting to change. Maybe in the next decade there will be another forcast of what is to be of the world for the next 100 years.

Chakrabarti, M. (2019, February 21). The Road To 10 Billion: Where Is Global Population Actually Headed? Retrieved February 22, 2019, from https://www.wbur.org/onpoint/2019/02/21/empty-planet-global-population-decline-growth-john-ibbitson-darrell-bricker

China’s population ‘to peak’ in 2029 at 1.44 billion

China’s population is set to reach a “peak” around the year of 2029 with a 1.44 billion population. Worries have raised about this increase in population and China is hoping to find a way to keep health, population and economics all in good standing. China has recently let the ‘one child policy’ go and have allowed families to have however many children they see fit. The abolishment of this policy may indeed bring China’s population and economic standing in a well place as it would keep reproduction at a fair age and reproduction would be naturally consistent. But the one huge problem that China currently faces is that their population is mostly obtained by the elderly and infants. The elderly and the infants is what the article calls ”dependants” because they are economically dependant upon family and/or the government. This leaves China’s economic dependency upon the small percentage of middle aged residents in China. China is facing some, “very unfavourable social and economic consequences” and their problem solving is currently reliant upon what happens next with their population.

This is a problem that many people saw coming for China. With the one child per family policy, it was bound to happen. China it currently very populated, possibly over populated, but if their reproduction ages are only limited to one child it leaves the rest of the population to age, almost too quickly. By quickly, it means that the middle ages portion of people are steadily aging, but China doesn’t have enough people to fill those spots being that their reproduction is lowered due to government. If China had a regular or natural reproduction process then they may not be facing this economic and social problem. Would they be overpopulated? Yes. But they would not be economically unstable.

B. (2019, January 05). China’s population ‘to peak’ in 2029 at 1.44 billion. Retrieved February 23, 2019, from https://www.bbc.com/news/world-asia-china-46772503?intlink_from_url=https://www.bbc.com/news/topics/c34jj3xmn41t/population-growth&link_location=live-reporting-story

The fastest growing (and shrinking) states: A closer look

This article focuses on which regions of the Unites States increase In population or decrease in population and why. It has been shown through their research that the South and West increase in population over the Northeast and Midwest. And there are many reasons why this may be, births are low, deaths are high, immigration is favored in bordering states, and urban areas have become huge. But according to the article, “Americans move for economic and educational opportunities as well as quality of life factors such as environment and cost of living.” As this was mentioned in the previous article. People, most of the time move wherever their job needs them to and during this time period jobs are more likely to pay for needed travel costs. This all makes emigration less of an issue for residents. But it does show that are our more industrial states get more love than our farm stated in the Midwest. States like Utah, Nevada, Arizona and more hold spots for increasing populations. While Wyoming, Connecticut, West Virginia and other states in that region are decreasing in their populations. 

Just as birth rates are a big population factor, so are jobs. Jobs are a part of our environment and they effect which states are more populated than others. More populated states and cities that are more industrialized tend to be more populated. This includes urban areas, in result to this where there are jobs you see more housing units and more plazas to shop for key necessities like groceries and luxuries. Overall these articles have hit on most of the key factors that contribute to population growths and declines within our country; immigration, emigration, fertility rates, reproductive stages, marriage and more. 

Comen, E. (2018, January 15). The fastest growing (and shrinking) states: A closer look. Retrieved November 14, 2018, from https://www.usatoday.com/story/money/economy/2018/01/15/fastest-growing-and-shrinking-states-closer-look/1019429001/

Trump Can’t Win the War on Demography

Once a decade the census questions residents, and Trump has mentioned that the 2020 census may include a question on whether residents are U.S. citizens. There has been a big battle on whether this is a good idea, as it comes with many cons. People of certain cultures will avoid this question, which will result in White American’s being the dominant number. This could also result in a high fear in Hispanic-American and Asian-American families, as they may make plans to move away or simply avoid the government more than they already have, if they do not have proper citizenship.“If it is added to the census form, the citizenship question will distort our understanding of who resides in the country.” This census can effect many people other than the residents who are needed to vote. The article states that Trump’s “older white base” have investments that run on the “growing racial minority populations”, but if these were to decline due to an added question on the census then more than just residents are to be effected.

Although this article is really based on the effects of the census, it includes some important facts that can drive our population to be misinterpreted. And it also shows how much our population effects numbers and money deals. The added citizenship question on the census could possibly drive our population decline as Trump may use it as a way to remove illegal residents (immigrants). But this addition on the census is unlikely to be put into effect, due to the six lawsuits against it and the investments on diversity within the populations. Besides this all Trump removing illegal persons would only hurt his administration as many of them invest in the  amounts of diversity within the country

Frey, W. H. (2018, September 30). Trump Can’t Win the War on Demography. Retrieved November 14, 2018, from https://www.nytimes.com/2018/09/30/opinion/trump-cant-win-the-war-on-demography.html

Fertility rates cut in half since 1950 — but the population is still growing

This article focuses on how fertility changes the U.S. population, which comes with its pros and cons. The article covers some very valid facts, that birth rates have declined and it altered our population a lot. Women joining the workforce, is what jumpstarted the decline of fertility rates. As Dr. Christopher Murray says,”women have gotten more educated and participate more in the workforce and they get access to health services, no surprise, fertility has come down tremendously.” Which is all true, with the world being more vast, many stages of life are being pushed to later years. The article states how marriage is being put off to later years and that is a huge determining factor of when families being to reproduce.

I believe this article hit on some very true points. The comparison between the 1950’s when women were not fully included in the workforce. To our current time period, where everyone including women are included in our working body. It has effected our birth rates, which is the most natural way of gaining population. Many people look on this as a con and say that the U.S. should change this, but based on the United State’s population charts, we have a high life expectancy. Which can accommodate a higher age of reproductive stages and marriage. 

Nedelman, M. (2018, November 09). Fertility rates cut in half since 1950 — but the population is still growing. Retrieved November 14, 2018, from https://www.cnn.com/2018/11/08/health/global-burden-disease-fertility-study/index.html

California’s population may be peaking. Here’s why

This past summer California surpassed 40 million in population! And this leaves some people happy and some wondering. Many people wonder if we will pass 50 million or even 100 million. And according to this article the answer is “No”. According to the article, “We should consider the real possibility that our era of population growth is over – and that shrinkage may be our future.” and the article states this because California has been showing trends in people leaving to other states faster than we get them, increase in killings, decrease on births, and decrease on immigration due to Trump’s new restrictions. So although we may be at the highest of highs, we could possibly have met our peak. And our population growth rate is at 0.8 percent which is rather low, compared to 1980’s where it was 2.5 percent. But California is not alone as other states are decreasing as well.

As I stated in the other articles, increase is always good, as long as it is positive increase. People have to remain doing their part for the earth in order to continue on a good path. California has just recently faced one of its longest droughts and now with the population increase California can be right back in that same spot, unless we learn to conserve and use necessity items as needed. Economically this could be great for California, but are we going to put more money into farms so that they can produce more, and are we going to put money into water filtration systems to keep the oceans from having too much CO2 or Oxygen. Besides population increase there needs to be a plan for the things that come with increases like these.

Noticing More Neighbors? California Population Nears 40M.

In the last year California has added 309,000 new residents and now has a 0.78 percent growth rate. With the new growth rate California now has a total population of 39,810,00 people. California has also added 85,000 more housing units to hold our growing population. 13,890 of the 85,000 housing units went to the most populated, Los Angeles. Los Angeles, San Diego and San Jose hold the spots for the most populated cities in California. As for most growth in the last year, percent wise, Chino Hills have led the population growth for the last year with 4.6 percent. Dublin and Newark both follow Chino Hills with about a 3.9 percent increase.

Population Growth is always good, as long as our environment can withstand the increase. More people means either more people to keep the earth green or more people to terrorize it or maybe even both. When it comes to population change, you are never too sure how it will affect the environment, that is all based on humans themselves. But there will be an increase of air pollution due to the increase of cars and people with bad habits like smoking and such. Littering will increase, especially in California’s city areas there seems to be a tendency to litter and trash the surroundings.